Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rot-Weiß Essen travel to face FC Ingolstadt 04 on Saturday 17 October in the 3. Liga, with Audi Sportpark the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
FC Ingolstadt 04, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Waldhof Mannheim, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Rot-Weiß Essen, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fortuna Köln, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Rot-Weiß Essen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Ingolstadt 04 1.2 xG, Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ingolstadt 04 26%, draw 17%, Rot-Weiß Essen 58%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Rot-Weiß Essen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Ingolstadt 0426%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @3.60
Rot-Weiß Essen58%fair 1.74 · @1.95
3.17Expected goals
1.21FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.96Rot-Weiß Essen xG
67%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.2 – 2.0 Rot-Weiß Essen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✗
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Draw no bet
Rot-Weiß Essen (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
FC Ingolstadt 04 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Rot-Weiß Essen to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6
WLLLLW
14 Oct
@ Waldhof Mannheim
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs SV Wehen
2–4
L
2 Oct
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ FC Viktoria Köln
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Hoffenheim II
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ FC Saarbrücken
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6
WDDDWW
13 Oct
vs Fortuna Köln
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Preußen Münster
3–3
D
3 Oct
@ Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Hansa Rostock
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Waldhof Mannheim
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Würzburger Kickers
6–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Rot-Weiß Essen.
What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Rot-Weiß Essen 58%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Rot-Weiß Essen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
