Value bet: Paysandu to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗41% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.99
Paysandu vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu welcome Fenix for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 13 July (23:00 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rentistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fenix, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sportivo Huracan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fenix, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Paysandu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.3 xG, Fenix 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 31%, draw 27%, Fenix 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Paysandu to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu31%fair 3.18 · @3.60
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Fenix41%fair 2.42 · @1.95
2.52Expected goals
1.31Paysandu xG
1.21Fenix xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.3 – 1.2 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Paysandu
Fenix
Attack vs Segunda División average
+11%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.55
0.97
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✗
41%
2.42
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Fenix (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Fenix +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Paysandu to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.99
–
Recent results
Paysandu – last 6
WLLLWL
4 Jul
@ Rentistas
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs Miramar
2–3
L
20 Jun
@ Tacuarembo
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ La Luz
2–1
W
30 May
vs Cerrito
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 6
WLDDWD
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
2–3
L
20 Jun
vs Oriental
2–2
D
13 Jun
@ Colón
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs CA River Plate
3–1
W
31 May
vs Rentistas
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Fenix.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Paysandu vs Fenix?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fenix 41%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Fenix?
Paysandu vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
