Value bet: Atenas to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.22
Fenix vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Segunda División brings Fenix against Atenas at Parque Capurro. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Atenas are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fenix, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paysandu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Atenas, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rentistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Atenas 1–4 Fenix.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.3 xG, Atenas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 40%, draw 27%, Atenas 33%.
Price worth noting: Atenas to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix40%fair 2.50 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.20
Atenas33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
2.44Expected goals
1.25Fenix xG
1.19Atenas xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.3 – 1.2 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fenix
Atenas
Attack vs Segunda División average
-4%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.05
1.12
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fenix vs Atenas?
On our numbers Fenix have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atenas 33%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Atenas?
Fenix vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
