Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiramar to win ✗36% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Miramar vs La Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Miramar v La Luz in the Segunda División, played at Parque Palermo. In the table, Miramar are 12th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 25 matches; La Luz are 9th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Miramar, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cashmere Technical, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
La Luz, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tacuarembo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miramar 1.1 xG, La Luz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miramar 36%, draw 29%, La Luz 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miramar 1–1 La Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miramar36%fair 2.81 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.95
La Luz35%fair 2.82 · @2.55
2.06Expected goals
1.05Miramar xG
1.00La Luz xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Miramar 1.1 – 1.0 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Miramar
La Luz
Attack vs Segunda División average
-13%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.09
0.98
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miramar to win✗
36%
2.81
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.62
Draw no bet
Miramar (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
La Luz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Miramar to score first✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.43
–
Recent results
Miramar – last 6
LLDWLW
26 Jul
@ Cashmere Technical
1–2
L
12 Jul
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
6 Jul
vs Atenas
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Paysandu
3–2
W
19 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Luz – last 6
WLDWLL
13 Jul
vs Tacuarembo
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Plaza Colonia
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ CA River Plate
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Cerrito
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Atenas
0–4
L
6 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miramar and La Luz.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Miramar vs La Luz?
On our numbers Miramar have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and La Luz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Miramar vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miramar vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Miramar 1–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Miramar vs La Luz?
Miramar vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
