Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 July the Division Profesional Clausura brings Club Sp. San Lorenzo against Club Guarani at Estadio Gunther Vogel. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 19 matches; Club Guarani are 5th (upper half) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Club Guarani, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sportivo Luqueno, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 Club Guarani.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 xG, Club Guarani 1.4 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 27%, draw 28%, Club Guarani 46%.
Lower-risk option: Club Guarani or draw (73%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Club Guarani or draw (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club Guarani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo27%fair 3.76 · @3.45
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Club Guarani46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
2.23Expected goals
0.88Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.35Club Guarani xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 – 1.4 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Club Guarani or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Club Guarani 46%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.