Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Thursday 30 July: Libertad Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Deportivo Recoleta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Olimpia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.5 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 54%, draw 26%, Deportivo Recoleta 21%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion54%fair 1.87 · @1.88
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Deportivo Recoleta21%fair 4.80 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.51Libertad Asuncion xG
0.88Deportivo Recoleta xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.5 – 0.9 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Recoleta 21%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
