Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.88 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOlimpia to win ✓62% · @1.88
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Olimpia vs Rubio NU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rubio NU travel to face Olimpia on Sunday 2 August in the Division Profesional Clausura, with Estadio Defensores del Chaco the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 42 points after 19 matches; Rubio NU are 10th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Olimpia, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nacional Asuncion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Rubio NU, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Ameliano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.8 xG, Rubio NU 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 62%, draw 23%, Rubio NU 15%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpia or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Olimpia to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 1–0 Rubio NU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpia62%fair 1.61 · @1.88
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Rubio NU15%fair 6.64 · @3.95
2.49Expected goals
1.81Olimpia xG
0.69Rubio NU xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.8 – 0.7 Rubio NU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpia to win✓
62%
1.61
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Olimpia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Olimpia (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Olimpia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Olimpia to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Olimpia ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia / FT Olimpia✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Olimpia – last 6
LLLWWW
29 Jul
@ Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Flamengo
2–4
L
27 May
vs A. Italiano
3–1
W
20 May
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–1
W
7 May
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rubio NU – last 6
DLLDWW
28 Jul
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
24 May
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
3 May
vs Sportivo Luqueno
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–0
W
20 Apr
vs Libertad Asuncion
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpia and Rubio NU.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rubio NU 15%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Rubio NU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Rubio NU?
Olimpia vs Rubio NU (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
