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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Guarani v Libertad Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio La Arboleda
2–1
FT
Club Guarani 35%Draw 28%Libertad Asuncion 37% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.12
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗37% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.45

Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Guarani welcome Libertad Asuncion to Estadio La Arboleda for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Sunday 2 August (22:30 WAT). In the table, Club Guarani are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 19 matches; Libertad Asuncion are 3rd (among the top four) with 33. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Club Guarani, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Deportivo Recoleta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Club Guarani 1–0 Libertad Asuncion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Guarani 1.2 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Guarani 35%, draw 28%, Libertad Asuncion 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Guarani 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Guarani35%fair 2.87 · @2.96
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.10
Libertad Asuncion37%fair 2.70 · @2.32
2.30Expected goals
1.17Club Guarani xG
1.12Libertad Asuncion xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.2 – 1.1 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗37%2.702.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.83
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapLibertad Asuncion +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreClub Guarani to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Guarani / FT Club Guarani ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.45–

Recent results

Club Guarani – last 6

WLDLLW
30 Jul@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0W
26 Julvs Sportivo Luqueno1–2L
12 May@ Cerro Porteno0–0D
4 Mayvs Nacional Asuncion0–1L
11 Apr@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo0–1L
6 Aprvs Libertad Asuncion1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

WWLLLD
30 Julvs Deportivo Recoleta4–1W
26 Jul@ Olimpia1–0W
27 Mayvs UCV0–1L
24 May@ Nacional Asuncion1–2L
20 May@ Independiente del Valle1–4L
14 Mayvs 2 de Mayo0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Club Guarani v Libertad Asuncion1–0
Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Club Guarani have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Libertad Asuncion 37%.

How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Club Guarani 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion?

Club Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.