Value bet: Erzurumspor FK to win @ 2.85 – our chance 44% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✗44% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Amed vs Erzurumspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Erzurumspor FK travel to face Amed on Sunday 16 August in the Süper Lig, with Şilbe Spor Kompleksi the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Amed are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Erzurumspor FK are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Amed, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bodrum FK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Erzurumspor FK, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rizespor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Erzurumspor FK, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Amed.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amed 1.3 xG, Erzurumspor FK 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amed 34%, draw 21%, Erzurumspor FK 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Erzurumspor FK to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amed 1–1 Erzurumspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amed34%fair 2.91 · @2.28
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.55
Erzurumspor FK44%fair 2.25 · @2.85
2.78Expected goals
1.28Amed xG
1.50Erzurumspor FK xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Amed 1.3 – 1.5 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✗
44%
2.25
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Erzurumspor FK (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Amed +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Erzurumspor FK to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Amed – last 6
DLDDWW
26 Apr
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bandırmaspor
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Ümraniyespor
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Boluspor
6–1
W
22 Mar
@ Hatayspor
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
DDDWWW
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amed and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Amed have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Erzurumspor FK 44%.
How many goals will there be in Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Amed 1–1 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
Amed vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Şilbe Spor Kompleksi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
