Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Süper Lig brings Başakşehir against Kocaelispor at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Başakşehir are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Kocaelispor are 7th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Başakşehir, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inter Turku, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Kocaelispor, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Antalyaspor, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Başakşehir, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Kocaelispor.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Kocaelispor 0–0 Başakşehir.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Başakşehir 2.1 xG, Kocaelispor 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Başakşehir 69%, draw 22%, Kocaelispor 9%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Başakşehir 2–0 Kocaelispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Başakşehir69%fair 1.45 · @1.51
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.90
Kocaelispor9%fair 10.86 · @6.50
2.70Expected goals
2.05Başakşehir xG
0.65Kocaelispor xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Başakşehir 2.1 – 0.6 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Başakşehir have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kocaelispor 9%.
How many goals will there be in Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Başakşehir 2–0 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
