Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kasımpaşa travel to face Başakşehir on Sunday 30 August in the Süper Lig, with Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Başakşehir are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Kasımpaşa are 5th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Başakşehir, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Trabzonspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Kasımpaşa, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Çorum FK, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Başakşehir 1.7 xG, Kasımpaşa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Başakşehir 62%, draw 22%, Kasımpaşa 16%.
Lower-risk option: Başakşehir or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Başakşehir 1–0 Kasımpaşa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Başakşehir62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.95
Kasımpaşa16%fair 6.14 · @4.60
2.45Expected goals
1.72Başakşehir xG
0.73Kasımpaşa xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Başakşehir 1.7 – 0.7 Kasımpaşa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
On our numbers Başakşehir have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kasımpaşa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
Our predicted score is Başakşehir 1–0 Kasımpaşa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
