Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✓62% · @1.58
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samsunspor welcome Fenerbahçe to Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu for a Süper Lig fixture on Sunday 30 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Samsunspor are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Fenerbahçe are 6th (upper half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Samsunspor, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rizespor, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Fenerbahçe, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lyon, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Fenerbahçe 3–2 Samsunspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samsunspor 1.2 xG, Fenerbahçe 2.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samsunspor 15%, draw 22%, Fenerbahçe 62%.
Lower-risk option: Fenerbahçe or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samsunspor 1–2 Fenerbahçe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samsunspor15%fair 6.59 · @5.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.10
Fenerbahçe62%fair 1.60 · @1.58
3.64Expected goals
1.20Samsunspor xG
2.43Fenerbahçe xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–16%
0–36%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.2 – 2.4 Fenerbahçe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fenerbahçe 62%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–2 Fenerbahçe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
