Value bet: Amed to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKasımpaşa to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Kasımpaşa vs Amed: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Amed travel to face Kasımpaşa on Sunday 6 September in the Süper Lig – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kasımpaşa are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Amed are 3rd (among the top four) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kasımpaşa, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Başakşehir, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Amed, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Trabzonspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kasımpaşa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Amed.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kasımpaşa 1.1 xG, Amed 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kasımpaşa 40%, draw 23%, Amed 37%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Amed to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kasımpaşa 1–0 Amed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kasımpaşa40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Amed37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.17Expected goals
1.12Kasımpaşa xG
1.05Amed xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 1.1 – 1.1 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kasımpaşa to win✗
40%
2.50
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Kasımpaşa (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Amed +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Kasımpaşa to score first✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kasımpaşa / FT Kasımpaşa✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.85
–
Recent results
Kasımpaşa – last 6
DWDWDW
30 Aug
@ Başakşehir
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Çorum FK
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Trabzonspor
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Samsunspor
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Amed – last 6
WLWDLD
31 Aug
vs Trabzonspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Kocaelispor
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bandırmaspor
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Ümraniyespor
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kasımpaşa and Amed.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Amed 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1–0 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
Kasımpaşa vs Amed (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
