Value bet: Samsunspor to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKocaelispor to win ✓38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samsunspor travel to face Kocaelispor on Sunday 6 September in the Süper Lig, with Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Kocaelispor are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Samsunspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kocaelispor, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Konyaspor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Samsunspor, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fenerbahçe, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Samsunspor, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Kocaelispor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kocaelispor 1.4 xG, Samsunspor 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kocaelispor 38%, draw 25%, Samsunspor 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Samsunspor to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kocaelispor 1–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kocaelispor38%fair 2.64 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Samsunspor37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
2.83Expected goals
1.42Kocaelispor xG
1.41Samsunspor xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.4 – 1.4 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kocaelispor to win✓
38%
2.64
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Kocaelispor (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Kocaelispor to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kocaelispor / FT Kocaelispor✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Kocaelispor – last 6
WWLLLD
29 Aug
@ Konyaspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Amed
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
17 May
@ Antalyaspor
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Başakşehir
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
LWDLWW
30 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Rizespor
2–0
W
17 Aug
vs Göztepe
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Kasımpaşa
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ AEK Athens FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Samsunspor 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
