Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Beşiktaş to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Amed vs Beşiktaş: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Süper Lig brings Amed against Beşiktaş at Diyarbakir Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Amed are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Beşiktaş are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Amed, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Başakşehir, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Beşiktaş, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Marseille, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amed 1.1 xG, Beşiktaş 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amed 17%, draw 22%, Beşiktaş 61%.
Lower-risk option: Beşiktaş or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Beşiktaş to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beşiktaş or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amed 1–2 Beşiktaş. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amed17%fair 5.94 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Beşiktaş61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
3.30Expected goals
1.10Amed xG
2.20Beşiktaş xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Amed 1.1 – 2.2 Beşiktaş expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Beşiktaş (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Beşiktaş -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Beşiktaş to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Amed – last 6
WDWLWD
13 Sep
vs Başakşehir
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Kasımpaşa
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trabzonspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Kocaelispor
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beşiktaş – last 6
WWWWLL
17 Sep
vs Marseille
4–1
W
11 Sep
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fenerbahçe
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Çorum FK
6–2
W
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Alanyaspor
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amed and Beşiktaş.
Our pick is Beşiktaş or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Amed vs Beşiktaş?
On our numbers Amed have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Beşiktaş 61%.
How many goals will there be in Amed vs Beşiktaş?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amed vs Beşiktaş?
Our predicted score is Amed 1–2 Beşiktaş, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Amed vs Beşiktaş?
Amed vs Beşiktaş (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Diyarbakir Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
