Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultKasımpaşa to win ✓43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kasımpaşa welcome Samsunspor to Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium for a Süper Lig fixture on Sunday 18 October (11:30 WAT). In the table, Kasımpaşa are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Samsunspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kasımpaşa, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Galatasaray, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Samsunspor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Trabzonspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kasımpaşa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Samsunspor.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Kasımpaşa 3–0 Samsunspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kasımpaşa 1.4 xG, Samsunspor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kasımpaşa 43%, draw 23%, Samsunspor 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kasımpaşa43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Samsunspor34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
2.64Expected goals
1.41Kasımpaşa xG
1.23Samsunspor xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 1.4 – 1.2 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Samsunspor 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
