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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kocaelispor v Göztepe: numbers & prediction

Süper Lig · Turkey · Turka Araç Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
1–2
FT
Kocaelispor 41%Draw 22%Göztepe 38% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.54
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds
1

Value bet: Kocaelispor to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKocaelispor to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Kocaelispor vs Göztepe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Göztepe travel to face Kocaelispor on Sunday 18 October in the Süper Lig, with Turka Araç Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Kocaelispor are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Göztepe are 10th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Kocaelispor, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Beşiktaş, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Göztepe, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Eyüpspor, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Kocaelispor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Göztepe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kocaelispor 1.6 xG, Göztepe 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kocaelispor 41%, draw 22%, Göztepe 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Kocaelispor to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kocaelispor 1–1 Göztepe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kocaelispor41%fair 2.47 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Göztepe38%fair 2.65 · @2.30
3.14Expected goals
1.60Kocaelispor xG
1.54Göztepe xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%

From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.6 – 1.5 Göztepe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKocaelispor to win ✗41%2.472.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.65
Draw no betKocaelispor (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapGöztepe +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreKocaelispor to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kocaelispor / FT Kocaelispor ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Kocaelispor – last 6

LWLWWW
11 Oct@ Beşiktaş1–2L
19 Sepvs Gaziantep FK2–0W
13 Sep@ Galatasaray0–1L
6 Sepvs Samsunspor1–0W
29 Aug@ Konyaspor2–1W
24 Augvs Amed2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Göztepe – last 6

WDDLLL
12 Oct@ Eyüpspor4–0W
20 Sepvs Rizespor2–2D
12 Sep@ Alanyaspor2–2D
7 Sepvs Gaziantep FK2–4L
29 Aug@ Galatasaray2–3L
23 Augvs Gençlerbirliği S.K.0–1L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Göztepe.

Kocaelispor vs Göztepe head-to-head page →

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray11911+1228
2Trabzonspor11812+1825
3Amed11722+1323
4Beşiktaş11713+1122
5Kasımpaşa11551+620
6Fenerbahçe11614+1919
7Kocaelispor11614+419
8Başakşehir11524+217
9Çorum FK11515016
10Göztepe11434+315
11Rizespor11425-314
12Erzurumspor FK11425-714
13Alanyaspor11335-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11326-911
15Konyaspor11227-88
16Gaziantep FK11227-108
17Samsunspor11218-157
18Eyüpspor111010-273

More Süper Lig predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?

On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Göztepe 38%.

How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?

Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Göztepe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?

Kocaelispor vs Göztepe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Turka Araç Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.