Value bet: Erzurumspor FK to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.21
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gaziantep FK welcome Erzurumspor FK to Gaziantep Stadyumu for a Süper Lig fixture on Saturday 24 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Gaziantep FK are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Erzurumspor FK are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Gaziantep FK, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Başakşehir, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Erzurumspor FK, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Eyüpspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Erzurumspor FK, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Gaziantep FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gaziantep FK 1.1 xG, Erzurumspor FK 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gaziantep FK 37%, draw 24%, Erzurumspor FK 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Erzurumspor FK to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gaziantep FK 1–1 Erzurumspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gaziantep FK37%fair 2.67 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Erzurumspor FK38%fair 2.60 · @2.88
2.25Expected goals
1.11Gaziantep FK xG
1.14Erzurumspor FK xG
58%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gaziantep FK 1.1 – 1.1 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✓
38%
2.60
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Erzurumspor FK (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Gaziantep FK +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Erzurumspor FK to score first
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.21
–
Recent results
Gaziantep FK – last 6
LLLDWL
18 Oct
@ Başakşehir
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Çorum FK
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ Kocaelispor
0–2
L
14 Sep
vs Fenerbahçe
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Göztepe
4–2
W
29 Aug
vs Rizespor
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
WDWLWD
17 Oct
vs Eyüpspor
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Alanyaspor
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Samsunspor
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Konyaspor
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Gaziantep FK have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Erzurumspor FK 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Gaziantep FK 1–1 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK?
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gaziantep Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.