Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAmed to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.85
Samsunspor vs Amed: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Samsunspor v Amed in the Süper Lig, played at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. In the table, Samsunspor are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Amed are 3rd (among the top four) with 23. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Samsunspor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Kasımpaşa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Amed, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Konyaspor, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Amed, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Samsunspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samsunspor 1.4 xG, Amed 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samsunspor 30%, draw 21%, Amed 49%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samsunspor 1–1 Amed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samsunspor30%fair 3.32 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Amed49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
3.31Expected goals
1.43Samsunspor xG
1.88Amed xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.4 – 1.9 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amed to win✓
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Amed (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Amed to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Amed ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amed / FT Amed✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Samsunspor – last 6
LLLLLL
18 Oct
@ Kasımpaşa
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Trabzonspor
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Erzurumspor FK
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Çorum FK
1–5
L
6 Sep
@ Kocaelispor
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amed – last 6
WDWWDW
17 Oct
vs Konyaspor
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Beşiktaş
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Başakşehir
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Kasımpaşa
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trabzonspor
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Amed.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Amed?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Amed 49%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Amed?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Amed?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–1 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Amed?
Samsunspor vs Amed (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
