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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Burgos v Cultural Leonesa: numbers & prediction

Burgos

LWWWD
0–0
FTPens
Burgos 54%Draw 26%Cultural Leonesa 20% Expected goals 1.47 – 0.81
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultBurgos to win ✗54% · @1.73
Double chanceBurgos or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68

Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burgos welcome Cultural Leonesa for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 8 August (18:00 WAT).

Current form

Burgos, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Athletic Club, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Cultural Leonesa, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Avilés, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Burgos, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Cultural Leonesa.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Cultural Leonesa 0–2 Burgos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burgos 1.5 xG, Cultural Leonesa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos 54%, draw 26%, Cultural Leonesa 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Burgos or draw (80%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos 1–0 Cultural Leonesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burgos54%fair 1.86 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.50
Cultural Leonesa20%fair 4.91 · @4.00
2.28Expected goals
1.47Burgos xG
0.81Cultural Leonesa xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Burgos 1.5 – 0.8 Cultural Leonesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BurgosCultural Leonesa
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-20%-3%
Goals conceded vs average-13%-20%
Our expected goals here1.370.80

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurgos to win ✗54%1.861.73
Double chanceBurgos or draw ✓80%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betBurgos (draw no bet)73%1.38–
Asian handicapCultural Leonesa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreBurgos to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burgos / FT Burgos ✗32%3.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.68–

Recent results

Burgos – last 6

LWWWDW
1 Augvs Athletic Club0–3L
29 Jul@ Unionistas de Salamanca1–0W
31 Mayvs FC Andorra1–0W
24 May@ Cultural Leonesa2–0W
1 Aprvs AD Ceuta FC1–1D
22 Marvs Cordoba4–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cultural Leonesa – last 6

DLDLLD
5 Augvs Real Avilés1–1D
1 Aug@ Athletic Club II0–2L
30 May@ Real Sociedad II1–1D
24 Mayvs Burgos0–2L
12 Apr@ Granada CF0–1L
1 Apr@ Huesca1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Cultural Leonesa v Burgos0–2
Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

On our numbers Burgos have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cultural Leonesa 20%.

How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

Our predicted score is Burgos 1–0 Cultural Leonesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa?

Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.