Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAuxerre to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Auxerre vs Estac Troyes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estac Troyes travel to face Auxerre on Saturday 8 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Auxerre, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sochaux, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Estac Troyes, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Grenoble, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Estac Troyes, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Auxerre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auxerre 1.6 xG, Estac Troyes 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auxerre 40%, draw 24%, Estac Troyes 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auxerre 1–1 Estac Troyes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auxerre40%fair 2.48 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Estac Troyes36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
3.23Expected goals
1.62Auxerre xG
1.61Estac Troyes xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.6 – 1.6 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Auxerre
Estac Troyes
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+20%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-27%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.64
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✗
40%
2.48
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Auxerre (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Estac Troyes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.12
First team to score
Auxerre to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Auxerre – last 6
DLWWDD
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs St Maur Lusitanos
5–2
W
17 May
@ Lille
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Monaco
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
WWWLDW
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Nancy
3–1
W
13 Apr
@ Rodez
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Montpellier
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Annecy
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estac Troyes 36%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–1 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Estac Troyes?
Auxerre vs Estac Troyes (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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