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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yeovil Town v Carlisle: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Huish Park
1–1
FT
Yeovil Town 16%Draw 23%Carlisle 62% Expected goals 1.00 – 2.12
84%
Betarazi pick

Carlisle or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCarlisle to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Yeovil Town vs Carlisle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carlisle travel to face Yeovil Town on Saturday 15 August in the National League, with Huish Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Yeovil Town are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Carlisle are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Yeovil Town, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Scunthorpe, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Carlisle, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Worthing, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Carlisle 3–0 Yeovil Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yeovil Town 1.0 xG, Carlisle 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yeovil Town 16%, draw 23%, Carlisle 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Carlisle or draw (84%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Carlisle to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Carlisle or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yeovil Town 0–2 Carlisle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yeovil Town16%fair 6.41 · @3.65
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Carlisle62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
3.12Expected goals
1.00Yeovil Town xG
2.12Carlisle xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Yeovil Town 1.0 – 2.1 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarlisle to win ✗62%1.621.85 ▲
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✓84%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.70
Draw no betCarlisle (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapCarlisle -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scoreCarlisle to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultCarlisle ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carlisle / FT Carlisle ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Yeovil Town – last 6

DLDLDW
8 Aug@ Scunthorpe1–1D
1 Augvs Newport County1–2L
28 Jul@ Farnham Town1–1D
25 Jul@ Wycombe2–3L
14 Jul@ Merthyr Town2–2D
11 Jul@ Melksham Town4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Carlisle – last 6

LWLWDD
8 Augvs Worthing2–3L
1 Aug@ Derby County U213–0W
28 Julvs Salford City0–2L
21 Jul@ Darlington 18834–2W
3 Mayvs Boreham Wood1–1D
6 Apr@ Morecambe2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Carlisle v Yeovil Town3–0
Yeovil Town vs Carlisle head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?

Our pick is Carlisle or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?

On our numbers Yeovil Town have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carlisle 62%.

How many goals will there be in Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?

Our predicted score is Yeovil Town 0–2 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Yeovil Town vs Carlisle?

Yeovil Town vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Huish Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.