Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarlisle to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Carlisle vs Southend: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the National League brings Carlisle against Southend at Brunton Park. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Carlisle are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Southend are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Carlisle, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Boreham Wood, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Southend, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Yeovil Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Southend, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Carlisle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carlisle 1.9 xG, Southend 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carlisle 43%, draw 22%, Southend 35%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlisle 1–1 Southend. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carlisle43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Southend35%fair 2.82 · @2.80
3.58Expected goals
1.88Carlisle xG
1.70Southend xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Carlisle 1.9 – 1.7 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Draw no bet
Carlisle (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Southend +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
First team to score
Carlisle to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
Carlisle – last 6
LWDWDL
5 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
4–2
W
28 Aug
@ Wealdstone
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Worthing
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
WDLWWW
5 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Woking
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Kidderminster Harriers
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Altrincham
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Southend.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Carlisle vs Southend?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southend 35%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Southend?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 1–1 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Southend?
Carlisle vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
