Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthend to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Eastleigh vs Southend: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Eastleigh welcome Southend to Silverlake Stadium for a National League fixture on Wednesday 30 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Eastleigh are 17th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Southend are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Eastleigh, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Harrogate Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Southend, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Barrow, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Southend, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Eastleigh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eastleigh 1.2 xG, Southend 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eastleigh 18%, draw 22%, Southend 60%.
Lower-risk option: Southend or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Southend or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eastleigh 1–2 Southend. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eastleigh18%fair 5.48 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.75
Southend60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
3.35Expected goals
1.16Eastleigh xG
2.19Southend xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Eastleigh 1.2 – 2.2 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.57
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Southend -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Southend to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Eastleigh – last 6
LWLDLD
26 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Carlisle
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Boreham Wood
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
LWWDWD
26 Sep
vs Barrow
2–4
L
19 Sep
@ Gateshead
6–1
W
15 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Carlisle
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Woking
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eastleigh and Southend.
Our pick is Southend or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Southend?
On our numbers Eastleigh have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southend 60%.
How many goals will there be in Eastleigh vs Southend?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eastleigh vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Eastleigh 1–2 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Eastleigh vs Southend?
Eastleigh vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Silverlake Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
