Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultTamworth to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Tamworth vs Sutton Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Tamworth v Sutton Utd in the National League, played at The Lamb Ground. In the table, Tamworth are 20th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Sutton Utd are 11th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Tamworth, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Aldershot Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Sutton Utd, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Forest Green, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tamworth 1.8 xG, Sutton Utd 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tamworth 41%, draw 22%, Sutton Utd 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tamworth 1–1 Sutton Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tamworth41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Sutton Utd38%fair 2.66 · @2.80
3.55Expected goals
1.81Tamworth xG
1.74Sutton Utd xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Tamworth 1.8 – 1.7 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tamworth to win✓
41%
2.46
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Draw no bet
Tamworth (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Sutton Utd +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
First team to score
Tamworth to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tamworth / FT Tamworth✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Tamworth – last 6
LWLLLD
26 Sep
@ Aldershot Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Wealdstone
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ Southend
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Boston United
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 6
DDWLDL
26 Sep
vs Forest Green
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Eastleigh
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Birmingham City U21
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Barrow
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tamworth and Sutton Utd.
What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Tamworth have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sutton Utd 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Tamworth 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tamworth vs Sutton Utd?
Tamworth vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
