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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Harrogate Town v Sutton Utd: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Exercise Stadium
3–1
FT
Harrogate Town 61%Draw 23%Sutton Utd 16% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.97
61%
Betarazi pick

Harrogate Town to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultHarrogate Town to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceHarrogate Town or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the National League brings Harrogate Town against Sutton Utd at Exercise Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Harrogate Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Sutton Utd are 11th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Harrogate Town, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bury, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sutton Utd, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Truro City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Harrogate Town, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Sutton Utd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harrogate Town 2.0 xG, Sutton Utd 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Harrogate Town 61%, draw 23%, Sutton Utd 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Harrogate Town or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Harrogate Town to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harrogate Town 2–0 Sutton Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harrogate Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Sutton Utd16%fair 6.21 · @4.60
3.00Expected goals
2.03Harrogate Town xG
0.97Sutton Utd xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.0 – 1.0 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHarrogate Town to win ✓61%1.641.67
Double chanceHarrogate Town or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.75
Draw no betHarrogate Town (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapHarrogate Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreHarrogate Town to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultHarrogate Town ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Harrogate Town – last 6

WDWWWW
20 Octvs Bury3–1W
17 Oct@ Bury1–1D
10 Oct@ Woking1–0W
3 Octvs AFC Hornchurch3–0W
29 Sep@ Hartlepool1–0W
26 Sepvs Eastleigh4–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sutton Utd – last 6

WWLDLD
17 Octvs Truro City1–0W
13 Octvs West Bromwich Albion U213–2W
9 Octvs Boreham Wood0–2L
3 Oct@ Kidderminster Harriers1–1D
30 Sep@ Tamworth0–2L
26 Sepvs Forest Green3–3D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and Sutton Utd.

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

Our pick is Harrogate Town to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutton Utd 16%.

How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 2–0 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.