Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: AFC Hornchurch to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHartlepool to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.63
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hartlepool welcome AFC Hornchurch to Victoria Park for a National League fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Hartlepool are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; AFC Hornchurch are 15th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Hartlepool, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Marine, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
AFC Hornchurch, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Uxbridge, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Hornchurch, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Hartlepool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.3 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 44%, draw 22%, AFC Hornchurch 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: AFC Hornchurch to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartlepool44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
AFC Hornchurch34%fair 2.94 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.35Hartlepool xG
1.15AFC Hornchurch xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.3 – 1.2 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✓
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Hartlepool (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
AFC Hornchurch +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Hartlepool to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Hartlepool – last 6
LLWLLL
17 Oct
vs Marine
0–2
L
13 Oct
vs Newcastle United U21
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Forest Green
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Tamworth
0–1
L
29 Sep
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
WWDLWL
17 Oct
@ Uxbridge
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Eastleigh
2–0
W
6 Oct
vs Fulham U21
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Harrogate Town
0–3
L
29 Sep
vs Aldershot Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Altrincham
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and AFC Hornchurch.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Hornchurch 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
