AFC Fylde v Hartlepool Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAFC Fylde to win ✓65% · @1.70

Double chanceAFC Fylde or draw ✓84% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: AFC Fylde v Hartlepool in the National League, played at Mill Farm. In the table, AFC Fylde are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Hartlepool are 21st (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

AFC Fylde, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Boreham Wood, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hartlepool, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Hornchurch, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AFC Fylde, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Hartlepool.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Fylde 2.0 xG, Hartlepool 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Fylde 65%, draw 19%, Hartlepool 16%.
Lower-risk option: AFC Fylde or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: AFC Fylde to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AFC Fylde or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Fylde 1–0 Hartlepool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Fylde65%fair 1.55 · @1.70

Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.75

Hartlepool16%fair 6.16 · @4.00

2.86Expected goals

2.00AFC Fylde xG

0.86Hartlepool xG

58%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%

2–011%

1–110%

2–110%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: AFC Fylde 2.0 – 0.9 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	AFC Fylde to win ✓	65%	1.55	1.70 ▲
Double chance	AFC Fylde or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.53
Draw no bet	AFC Fylde (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	AFC Fylde -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	AFC Fylde to score first ✗	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	AFC Fylde ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde ✗	41%	2.45	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.15	–

AFC Fylde – last 6

LWWLLW

24 Oct	@ Boreham Wood	0–4	L
17 Oct	vs Atherton Collieries	5–0	W
10 Oct	vs Scunthorpe	2–0	W
3 Oct	@ Southend	1–3	L
29 Sep	vs Carlisle	0–2	L
26 Sep	@ Boston United	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Hartlepool – last 6

WLLWLL

24 Oct	vs AFC Hornchurch	2–1	W
17 Oct	vs Marine	0–2	L
13 Oct	vs Newcastle United U21	1–2	L
10 Oct	@ Forest Green	4–2	W
3 Oct	vs Tamworth	0–1	L
29 Sep	vs Harrogate Town	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	16	14	2	0	+27	44
2	Harrogate Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Southend	16	8	5	3	+11	29
4	AFC Fylde	16	9	2	5	+6	29
5	Yeovil Town	16	8	4	4	+15	28
6	Worthing	16	8	4	4	+7	28
7	Altrincham	16	9	1	6	0	28
8	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Barrow	15	7	4	4	+7	25
10	FC Halifax Town	16	7	3	6	+8	24
11	Sutton Utd	16	7	3	6	-1	24
12	Woking	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Kidderminster Harriers	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Aldershot Town	16	6	3	7	0	21
15	AFC Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	-8	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	-1	19
17	Eastleigh	16	5	4	7	-6	19
18	Wealdstone	16	5	3	8	-6	18
19	Boston United	16	5	3	8	-8	18
20	Tamworth	15	5	2	8	-7	17
21	Hartlepool	16	5	0	11	-9	15
22	Solihull Moors	16	4	1	11	-21	13
23	Scunthorpe	15	3	1	11	-11	10
24	Gateshead	15	1	1	13	-25	4

Team

Pts

+27

+11

+11

+15

-1

Kidderminster Harriers

-8

-1

-6

-6

-8

-7

-9

-21

-11

-25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?

Our pick is AFC Fylde or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?

On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hartlepool 16%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?

Our predicted score is AFC Fylde 1–0 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

AFC Fylde v Hartlepool: numbers & prediction