Worthing vs Southend: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Worthing v Southend in the National League, played at Sussex Transport Community Stadium. In the table, Worthing are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Southend are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Worthing, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kidderminster Harriers, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Southend, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Halifax Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Worthing 1.8 xG, Southend 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Worthing 40%, draw 20%, Southend 40%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Worthing 1–1 Southend. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Worthing40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.75
Southend40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
3.64Expected goals
1.82Worthing xG
1.82Southend xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Worthing 1.8 – 1.8 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Worthing +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Southend to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.62
–
Recent results
Worthing – last 6
WLLWWD
24 Oct
@ Kidderminster Harriers
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Wealdstone
0–3
L
13 Oct
vs Ipswich Town U21
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Solihull Moors
5–0
W
3 Oct
@ Gateshead
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Yeovil Town
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
DLWWDL
24 Oct
vs FC Halifax Town
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Berkhamsted
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Boston United
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs AFC Fylde
3–1
W
30 Sep
@ Eastleigh
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Barrow
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Southend.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Worthing vs Southend?
On our numbers Worthing have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Southend 40%.
How many goals will there be in Worthing vs Southend?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Worthing vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Worthing 1–1 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Worthing vs Southend?
Worthing vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
