Carlisle 44%Draw 21%Harrogate Town 35%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.61
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCarlisle to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Carlisle vs Harrogate Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Harrogate Town travel to face Carlisle on Wednesday 28 October in the National League, with Brunton Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Carlisle are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Harrogate Town are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Carlisle, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Solihull Moors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Harrogate Town, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sutton Utd, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Harrogate Town, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Carlisle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carlisle 1.8 xG, Harrogate Town 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carlisle 44%, draw 21%, Harrogate Town 35%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Harrogate Town to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlisle 1–1 Harrogate Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carlisle44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Harrogate Town35%fair 2.86 · @3.30
3.43Expected goals
1.82Carlisle xG
1.61Harrogate Town xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Carlisle 1.8 – 1.6 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✓
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Draw no bet
Carlisle (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Harrogate Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Carlisle to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Carlisle – last 6
WWDWWL
24 Oct
@ Solihull Moors
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Tamworth
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Kidderminster Harriers
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Aldershot Town
3–1
W
29 Sep
@ AFC Fylde
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Woking
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
WWDWWW
24 Oct
vs Sutton Utd
3–1
W
20 Oct
vs Bury
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Bury
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Woking
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs AFC Hornchurch
3–0
W
29 Sep
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Harrogate Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 1–1 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
Carlisle vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
