Sutton Utd 59%Draw 24%Aldershot Town 18%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.83
82%
Betarazi pick
Sutton Utd or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sutton Utd to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSutton Utd to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceSutton Utd or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aldershot Town travel to face Sutton Utd on Wednesday 28 October in the National League, with VBS Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Sutton Utd are 11th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Aldershot Town are 14th (lower half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sutton Utd, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Harrogate Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Aldershot Town, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Wealdstone, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Aldershot Town 2–2 Sutton Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sutton Utd 1.7 xG, Aldershot Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sutton Utd 59%, draw 24%, Aldershot Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sutton Utd or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Sutton Utd to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sutton Utd or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutton Utd 1–0 Aldershot Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sutton Utd59%fair 1.71 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.40
Aldershot Town18%fair 5.59 · @3.80
2.54Expected goals
1.71Sutton Utd xG
0.83Aldershot Town xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 1.7 – 0.8 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Sutton Utd or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aldershot Town 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 1–0 Aldershot Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
