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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Manisa F.K. v Vanspor FK: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey · Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu
4–1
FT
Manisa F.K. 61%Draw 22%Vanspor FK 17% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.79
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultManisa F.K. to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceManisa F.K. or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the 1. Lig brings Manisa F.K. against Vanspor FK at Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Manisa F.K. are 17th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Vanspor FK are 14th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Manisa F.K., last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Boluspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Vanspor FK, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kayserispor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Manisa F.K., collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Vanspor FK.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Vanspor FK 0–1 Manisa F.K..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manisa F.K. 1.8 xG, Vanspor FK 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Manisa F.K. 61%, draw 22%, Vanspor FK 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Manisa F.K. or draw (83%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manisa F.K. 1–0 Vanspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manisa F.K.61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Vanspor FK17%fair 5.89 · @4.40
2.55Expected goals
1.76Manisa F.K. xG
0.79Vanspor FK xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Manisa F.K. 1.8 – 0.8 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManisa F.K. to win ✓61%1.641.70
Double chanceManisa F.K. or draw ✓83%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Draw no betManisa F.K. (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapManisa F.K. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
First team to scoreManisa F.K. to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultManisa F.K. ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manisa F.K. / FT Manisa F.K. ✓38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Manisa F.K. – last 6

WWLWWW
7 Aug@ Boluspor2–1W
1 Mayvs Sakaryaspor5–0W
26 Apr@ Keçiörengücü1–2L
19 Aprvs Serik Spor1–0W
12 Apr@ Vanspor FK1–0W
7 Aprvs Pendikspor2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vanspor FK – last 6

LLLWLW
9 Augvs Kayserispor0–2L
1 May@ Hatayspor1–3L
25 Aprvs İstanbulspor1–3L
19 Apr@ Ümraniyespor2–1W
12 Aprvs Manisa F.K.0–1L
8 Apr@ Serik Spor6–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Vanspor FK v Manisa F.K.0–1
Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK head-to-head page →

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor141022+1832
2Kayserispor14932+2230
3Iğdır FK14842+828
4Mardin 196914743+625
5Batman Petrolspor14734+324
6Keçiörengücü14653+823
7Bodrum FK14563+521
8Antalyaspor14626-120
9Fatih Karagümrük14545+419
10Esenler Erokspor14464+218
11Muğlaspor14464-718
12Ümraniyespor13454+417
13Sarıyer14455-417
14Vanspor FK14536-616
15Bandırmaspor14356014
16Pendikspor14356-1014
17Manisa F.K.14347-313
18Sivasspor14275-613
19İstanbulspor142210-218
20Boluspor131111-224

More 1. Lig predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK?

On our numbers Manisa F.K. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vanspor FK 17%.

How many goals will there be in Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK?

Our predicted score is Manisa F.K. 1–0 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK?

Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.