Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBursaspor to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Bursaspor v İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig, played at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu. In the table, Bursaspor are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 14 matches; İstanbulspor are 19th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bursaspor, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kayserispor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
İstanbulspor, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fatih Karagümrük, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Bursaspor, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for İstanbulspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bursaspor 2.1 xG, İstanbulspor 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bursaspor 67%, draw 23%, İstanbulspor 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bursaspor to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bursaspor 2–0 İstanbulspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bursaspor67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.00
İstanbulspor10%fair 10.41 · @6.50
2.88Expected goals
2.13Bursaspor xG
0.75İstanbulspor xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bursaspor 2.1 – 0.7 İstanbulspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Draw no bet
Bursaspor (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Bursaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Bursaspor to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Bursaspor ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Bursaspor – last 6
WLWWDW
29 Aug
@ Kayserispor
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Somaspor
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
İstanbulspor – last 6
DLDLWW
29 Aug
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Vanspor FK
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Bandırmaspor
0–3
L
1 May
vs Adana Demirspor
8–1
W
25 Apr
@ Vanspor FK
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bursaspor and İstanbulspor.
What is the prediction for Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Our pick is Bursaspor to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor?
On our numbers Bursaspor have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and İstanbulspor 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Our predicted score is Bursaspor 2–0 İstanbulspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
