Value bet: Iğdır FK to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIğdır FK to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 3 September the 1. Lig brings Iğdır FK against Manisa F.K. at Aktepe Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Iğdır FK are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Manisa F.K. are 17th (lower half) with 13. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Iğdır FK, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Esenler Erokspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Manisa F.K., last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bodrum FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Manisa F.K., collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Iğdır FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iğdır FK 1.6 xG, Manisa F.K. 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iğdır FK 62%, draw 16%, Manisa F.K. 22%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Iğdır FK to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iğdır FK 1–0 Manisa F.K.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iğdır FK62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @3.45
Manisa F.K.22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
2.44Expected goals
1.65Iğdır FK xG
0.79Manisa F.K. xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Iğdır FK 1.6 – 0.8 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iğdır FK to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Draw no bet
Iğdır FK (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Manisa F.K. +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Iğdır FK to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iğdır FK / FT Iğdır FK✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Iğdır FK – last 6
WLLWLD
30 Aug
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Bursaspor
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Fatih Karagümrük
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sivasspor
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Pendikspor
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. – last 6
DDWWWL
30 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
4–1
W
7 Aug
@ Boluspor
2–1
W
1 May
vs Sakaryaspor
5–0
W
26 Apr
@ Keçiörengücü
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K..
What is the prediction for Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.?
On our numbers Iğdır FK have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Manisa F.K. 22%.
How many goals will there be in Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Our predicted score is Iğdır FK 1–0 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
