Manisa F.K. 55%Draw 24%İstanbulspor 21%Expected goals 2.14 – 1.29
79%
Betarazi pick
Manisa F.K. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Manisa F.K. to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManisa F.K. to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceManisa F.K. or draw ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Manisa F.K. v İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig, played at Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri. In the table, Manisa F.K. are 17th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; İstanbulspor are 19th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Manisa F.K., last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fatih Karagümrük, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
İstanbulspor, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Kayserispor, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Manisa F.K., collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for İstanbulspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manisa F.K. 2.1 xG, İstanbulspor 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manisa F.K. 55%, draw 24%, İstanbulspor 21%.
Lower-risk option: Manisa F.K. or draw (79%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Manisa F.K. to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Manisa F.K. or draw (79%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manisa F.K. 2–1 İstanbulspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manisa F.K.55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
İstanbulspor21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
3.43Expected goals
2.14Manisa F.K. xG
1.29İstanbulspor xG
62%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Manisa F.K. 2.1 – 1.3 İstanbulspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manisa F.K. to win✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Manisa F.K. or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Draw no bet
Manisa F.K. (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
İstanbulspor +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Manisa F.K. to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Manisa F.K. ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manisa F.K. / FT Manisa F.K.✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Manisa F.K. – last 6
DLLDDW
13 Sep
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Bursaspor
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
İstanbulspor – last 6
LLLDLD
14 Sep
@ Kayserispor
0–4
L
7 Sep
vs Iğdır FK
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Bursaspor
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Vanspor FK
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor.
What is the prediction for Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor?
Our pick is Manisa F.K. or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor?
On our numbers Manisa F.K. have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and İstanbulspor 21%.
How many goals will there be in Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor?
Our predicted score is Manisa F.K. 2–1 İstanbulspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor?
Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.