Value bet: Kayserispor to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKayserispor to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.19
Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the 1. Lig brings Mardin 1969 against Kayserispor at 21 Kasım Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mardin 1969 are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Kayserispor are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Mardin 1969, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Iğdır FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kayserispor, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over İstanbulspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mardin 1969 1.0 xG, Kayserispor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mardin 1969 35%, draw 24%, Kayserispor 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Kayserispor to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mardin 1969 1–1 Kayserispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mardin 196935%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Kayserispor41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
2.14Expected goals
1.01Mardin 1969 xG
1.13Kayserispor xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Mardin 1969 1.0 – 1.1 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kayserispor to win✓
41%
2.44
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Draw no bet
Kayserispor (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Mardin 1969 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Kayserispor to score first✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kayserispor / FT Kayserispor✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.19
–
Recent results
Mardin 1969 – last 6
LWDDWW
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 6
WWDLWW
14 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
7 Sep
@ Esenler Erokspor
3–0
W
2 Sep
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Bursaspor
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sivasspor
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mardin 1969 and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Mardin 1969 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kayserispor 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Mardin 1969 1–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 21 Kasım Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
