Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultBursaspor to win ✗63% · @1.65
Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the 1. Lig brings Bursaspor against Mardin 1969 at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Bursaspor are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 14 matches; Mardin 1969 are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Bursaspor, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Batman Petrolspor, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Mardin 1969, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kayserispor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bursaspor, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Mardin 1969.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bursaspor 1.7 xG, Mardin 1969 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bursaspor 63%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 14%.
Lower-risk option: Bursaspor or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bursaspor to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bursaspor 1–0 Mardin 1969. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bursaspor63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Mardin 196914%fair 7.39 · @4.80
2.31Expected goals
1.69Bursaspor xG
0.62Mardin 1969 xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bursaspor 1.7 – 0.6 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Bursaspor (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Bursaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Bursaspor to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Bursaspor – last 6
WDWWWL
19 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Esenler Erokspor
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kayserispor
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
LLWDDW
20 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bursaspor and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Bursaspor to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers Bursaspor have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mardin 1969 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is Bursaspor 1–0 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969?
Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
