Muğlaspor v Bursaspor Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBursaspor to win ✓60% · @1.62

Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓85% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Muğlaspor v Bursaspor in the 1. Lig, played at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu. In the table, Muğlaspor are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Bursaspor are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Muğlaspor, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fatih Karagümrük, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Bursaspor, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mardin 1969, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Muğlaspor 0.7 xG, Bursaspor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Muğlaspor 15%, draw 25%, Bursaspor 60%.
Lower-risk option: Bursaspor or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bursaspor to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muğlaspor 0–1 Bursaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Muğlaspor15%fair 6.62 · @4.80

Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60

Bursaspor60%fair 1.67 · @1.62

2.39Expected goals

0.72Muğlaspor xG

1.67Bursaspor xG

52%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

0–213%

1–111%

1–29%

0–09%

0–37%

From our goals model: Muğlaspor 0.7 – 1.7 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bursaspor to win ✓	60%	1.67	1.62
Double chance	Bursaspor or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	1.80
Draw no bet	Bursaspor (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Bursaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Bursaspor to score first ✓	64%	1.57	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor ✗	37%	2.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.88	–

Muğlaspor – last 6

DDDDWW

11 Oct	@ Fatih Karagümrük	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Iğdır FK	2–2	D
13 Sep	@ Sivasspor	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs Vanspor FK	2–2	D
1 Sep	@ Ümraniyespor	1–0	W
28 Aug	vs Boluspor	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Bursaspor – last 6

LWDWWW

11 Oct	vs Mardin 1969	1–2	L
19 Sep	@ Batman Petrolspor	2–1	W
13 Sep	vs Esenler Erokspor	2–2	D
7 Sep	@ Manisa F.K.	2–1	W
3 Sep	vs İstanbulspor	4–0	W
29 Aug	@ Kayserispor	2–1	W

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Our pick is Bursaspor to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bursaspor 60%.

How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 0–1 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Muğlaspor v Bursaspor: numbers & prediction