Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarıyer welcome Fatih Karagümrük to Yusuf Ziya Onis for a 1. Lig fixture on Saturday 24 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Sarıyer are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Fatih Karagümrük are 9th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarıyer, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sivasspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Keçiörengücü, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarıyer 1.4 xG, Fatih Karagümrük 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarıyer 40%, draw 23%, Fatih Karagümrük 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarıyer 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarıyer40%fair 2.51 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Fatih Karagümrük37%fair 2.71 · @2.75
2.64Expected goals
1.35Sarıyer xG
1.29Fatih Karagümrük xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sarıyer 1.4 – 1.3 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarıyer to win✗
40%
2.51
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Sarıyer (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Fatih Karagümrük +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sarıyer to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarıyer / FT Sarıyer✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
Sarıyer – last 6
DLDWDL
17 Oct
@ Sivasspor
1–1
D
13 Oct
vs Bodrum FK
1–4
L
9 Oct
@ Ümraniyespor
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Boluspor
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Keçiörengücü
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
LLDWDL
19 Oct
vs Keçiörengücü
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ Mardin 1969
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Muğlaspor
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Manisa F.K.
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük.
What is the prediction for Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers Sarıyer have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fatih Karagümrük 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our predicted score is Sarıyer 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Onis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
