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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ümraniyespor v Sivasspor: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey
4–0
FT
Ümraniyespor 41%Draw 23%Sivasspor 36% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.09
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Sivasspor to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultÜmraniyespor to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.56

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Ümraniyespor v Sivasspor in the 1. Lig. In the table, Ümraniyespor are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Sivasspor are 18th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Ümraniyespor, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vanspor FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Sivasspor, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sarıyer, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sivasspor, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ümraniyespor.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Sivasspor 1–0 Ümraniyespor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ümraniyespor 1.2 xG, Sivasspor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ümraniyespor 41%, draw 23%, Sivasspor 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Sivasspor to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Sivasspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ümraniyespor41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Sivasspor36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.29Expected goals
1.20Ümraniyespor xG
1.09Sivasspor xG
58%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.2 – 1.1 Sivasspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÜmraniyespor to win ✓41%2.422.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.73
Draw no betÜmraniyespor (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapSivasspor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreÜmraniyespor to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ümraniyespor / FT Ümraniyespor ✓22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.56–

Recent results

Ümraniyespor – last 6

WDWLLL
18 Oct@ Vanspor FK2–0W
9 Octvs Sarıyer1–1D
18 Sep@ Bandırmaspor1–0W
12 Sepvs Antalyaspor1–2L
5 Sep@ Pendikspor0–1L
1 Sepvs Muğlaspor0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sivasspor – last 6

DDWDDW
17 Octvs Sarıyer1–1D
13 Oct@ Bandırmaspor1–1D
9 Octvs Pendikspor4–1W
19 Sep@ Keçiörengücü1–1D
13 Sepvs Muğlaspor1–1D
6 Sep@ Antalyaspor2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Sivasspor v Ümraniyespor1–0
Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor head-to-head page →

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor141022+1832
2Kayserispor14932+2230
3Iğdır FK14842+828
4Mardin 196914743+625
5Batman Petrolspor14734+324
6Keçiörengücü14653+823
7Bodrum FK14563+521
8Antalyaspor14626-120
9Fatih Karagümrük14545+419
10Esenler Erokspor14464+218
11Muğlaspor14464-718
12Ümraniyespor13454+417
13Sarıyer14455-417
14Vanspor FK14536-616
15Bandırmaspor14356014
16Pendikspor14356-1014
17Manisa F.K.14347-313
18Sivasspor14275-613
19İstanbulspor142210-218
20Boluspor131111-224

More 1. Lig predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sivasspor 36%.

How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 1–1 Sivasspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.