Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 3.08 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBandırmaspor to win ✗42% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Bandırmaspor v Fatih Karagümrük in the 1. Lig. In the table, Bandırmaspor are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Fatih Karagümrük are 9th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Bandırmaspor, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bursaspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pendikspor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bandırmaspor 1.3 xG, Fatih Karagümrük 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bandırmaspor 42%, draw 23%, Fatih Karagümrük 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.79.
Price worth noting: Fatih Karagümrük to win @3.08 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bandırmaspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bandırmaspor42%fair 2.38 · @2.13
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.08
Fatih Karagümrük35%fair 2.85 · @3.08
2.44Expected goals
1.29Bandırmaspor xG
1.15Fatih Karagümrük xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bandırmaspor 1.3 – 1.1 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bandırmaspor to win✗
42%
2.38
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.79
Draw no bet
Bandırmaspor (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Fatih Karagümrük +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Bandırmaspor to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bandırmaspor / FT Bandırmaspor✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Bandırmaspor – last 6
LLLDWL
31 Oct
@ Bursaspor
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Iğdır FK
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Bodrum FK
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Sivasspor
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Vanspor FK
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Ümraniyespor
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
LDWLLD
31 Oct
vs Pendikspor
0–1
L
28 Oct
vs Somaspor
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Sarıyer
2–0
W
19 Oct
vs Keçiörengücü
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ Mardin 1969
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Muğlaspor
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bandırmaspor and Fatih Karagümrük.
What is the prediction for Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers Bandırmaspor have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fatih Karagümrük 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our predicted score is Bandırmaspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
