Ümraniyespor v Kayserispor Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKayserispor to win ✗63% · @1.60

Double chanceKayserispor or draw ✗83% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kayserispor travel to face Ümraniyespor on Sunday 8 November in the 1. Lig – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Ümraniyespor are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Kayserispor are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ümraniyespor, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bodrum FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kayserispor, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Muğlaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ümraniyespor 0.8 xG, Kayserispor 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ümraniyespor 17%, draw 20%, Kayserispor 63%.
Lower-risk option: Kayserispor or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kayserispor or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ümraniyespor 0–1 Kayserispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ümraniyespor17%fair 5.78 · @4.75

Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60

Kayserispor63%fair 1.60 · @1.60

2.68Expected goals

0.83Ümraniyespor xG

1.85Kayserispor xG

58%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%

0–212%

1–111%

1–210%

0–37%

0–07%

From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 0.8 – 1.9 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kayserispor to win ✗	63%	1.60	1.60
Double chance	Kayserispor or draw ✗	83%	1.21	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.80
Draw no bet	Kayserispor (draw no bet) ✗	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Kayserispor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	1.12
First team to score	Kayserispor to score first ✗	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Kayserispor ahead at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kayserispor / FT Kayserispor ✗	39%	2.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.27	–

Ümraniyespor – last 6

DDWWDW

1 Nov	@ Bodrum FK	1–1	D
28 Oct	vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	1–1	D
24 Oct	vs Sivasspor	4–0	W
18 Oct	@ Vanspor FK	2–0	W
9 Oct	vs Sarıyer	1–1	D
18 Sep	@ Bandırmaspor	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Kayserispor – last 6

WLDDWW

2 Nov	vs Muğlaspor	6–0	W
29 Oct	@ Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	1–4	L
25 Oct	@ Pendikspor	2–2	D
18 Oct	vs Batman Petrolspor	2–2	D
14 Oct	@ Antalyaspor	4–0	W
10 Oct	vs Manisa F.K.	3–2	W

3.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor?

Our pick is Kayserispor or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor?

On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kayserispor 63%.

How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor?

Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 0–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor?

Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ümraniyespor v Kayserispor: numbers & prediction