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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Estelí v Diriangén: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua · Estadio Independencia
0–2
FT
Real Estelí 41%Draw 23%Diriangén 35% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.25
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Estelí to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Real Estelí vs Diriangén: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Primera Division brings Real Estelí against Diriangén at Estadio Independencia. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Real Estelí are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Diriangén are 2nd (among the top four) with 36.

Current form

Real Estelí, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CS Herediano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Diriangén, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Xelajú, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Estelí, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Diriangén.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Diriangén 1–0 Real Estelí.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Estelí 1.4 xG, Diriangén 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Estelí 41%, draw 23%, Diriangén 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Estelí 1–1 Diriangén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Estelí41%fair 2.43 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Diriangén35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.38Real Estelí xG
1.25Diriangén xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Real Estelí 1.4 – 1.3 Diriangén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Estelí to win ✗41%2.432.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.80
Draw no betReal Estelí (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapDiriangén +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreReal Estelí to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Real Estelí – last 6

LWWWWW
19 Augvs CS Herediano0–2L
12 Augvs Alianza3–1W
8 Augvs Walter Ferretti4–1W
5 Aug@ Antigua GFC2–0W
30 Jul@ Jalapa1–0W
26 Julvs Matagalpa2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Diriangén – last 6

LLWLDW
19 Aug@ Xelajú0–2L
14 Aug@ Firpo0–4L
9 Augvs Rancho Santana2–1W
5 Augvs LD Alajuelense1–3L
1 Augvs UNAN Managua1–1D
29 Julvs Plaza Amador4–2W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Diriangén v Real Estelí1–0
Real Estelí vs Diriangén head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Estelí vs Diriangén?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Real Estelí vs Diriangén?

On our numbers Real Estelí have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Diriangén 35%.

How many goals will there be in Real Estelí vs Diriangén?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Estelí vs Diriangén?

Our predicted score is Real Estelí 1–1 Diriangén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Real Estelí vs Diriangén?

Real Estelí vs Diriangén (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.