Hamburger SV II v SV DrochtersenAssel: numbers & prediction

Hamburger SV II vs SV DrochtersenAssel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Hamburger SV II v SV DrochtersenAssel in the Regionalliga Nord. In the table, Hamburger SV II are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; SV DrochtersenAssel are 5th (upper half) with 33. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hamburger SV II, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Todesfelde, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

SV DrochtersenAssel, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hannover 96 II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Momentum favours SV DrochtersenAssel, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Hamburger SV II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV II 1.3 xG, SV DrochtersenAssel 2.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV II 15%, draw 25%, SV DrochtersenAssel 60%.
• Lower-risk option: SV DrochtersenAssel or draw (85%) at 1.25.
• GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
• Price worth noting: SV DrochtersenAssel to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was SV DrochtersenAssel or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV II 1–2 SV DrochtersenAssel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.