Value bet: Werder Bremen II to win @ 2.45 – our chance 43% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWerder Bremen II to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.57
St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Werder Bremen II travel to face St. Pauli II on Sunday 16 August in the Regionalliga Nord – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, St. Pauli II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Werder Bremen II are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
St. Pauli II, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to SSV Jeddeloh, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Werder Bremen II, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Todesfelde, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Werder Bremen II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for St. Pauli II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Pauli II 2.1 xG, Werder Bremen II 2.3 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Pauli II 35%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen II 43%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Werder Bremen II to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Pauli II 2–2 Werder Bremen II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Pauli II35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Werder Bremen II43%fair 2.30 · @2.45
4.40Expected goals
2.08St. Pauli II xG
2.32Werder Bremen II xG
70%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
1–35%
From our goals model: St. Pauli II 2.1 – 2.3 Werder Bremen II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Werder Bremen II to win✗
43%
2.30
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Draw no bet
Werder Bremen II (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
St. Pauli II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
First team to score
Werder Bremen II to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Werder Bremen II ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Werder Bremen II / FT Werder Bremen II✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.57
–
Recent results
St. Pauli II – last 6
LLLDDW
12 Aug
@ SSV Jeddeloh
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Bremer SV
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Todesfelde
4–6
L
26 Jul
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Verden 04
5–5
D
2 Jul
@ Tus Dassendorf
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen II – last 6
DLLWWW
9 Aug
@ Todesfelde
3–3
D
31 Jul
vs VfB Oldenburg
0–3
L
19 Jul
vs BFC Preussen
0–5
L
18 Jul
vs Sportfreunde Lotte
6–2
W
3 Jul
@ Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
9 May
vs SSV Jeddeloh
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Pauli II and Werder Bremen II.
What is the prediction for St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
On our numbers St. Pauli II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Werder Bremen II 43%.
How many goals will there be in St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
Our predicted score is St. Pauli II 2–2 Werder Bremen II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?
St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
