Value bet: Phönix Lübeck to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPhönix Lübeck to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.36
Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Regionalliga Nord brings Kickers Emden against Phönix Lübeck. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Kickers Emden are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Phönix Lübeck are 4th (among the top four) with 34. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kickers Emden, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to VfB Oldenburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Phönix Lübeck, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Eintracht Norderstedt, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Phönix Lübeck, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Kickers Emden.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Phönix Lübeck 2–0 Kickers Emden.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kickers Emden 1.7 xG, Phönix Lübeck 2.8 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kickers Emden 21%, draw 17%, Phönix Lübeck 62%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Phönix Lübeck to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kickers Emden 1–2 Phönix Lübeck. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kickers Emden21%fair 4.83 · @3.25
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.80
Phönix Lübeck62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
4.48Expected goals
1.65Kickers Emden xG
2.83Phönix Lübeck xG
70%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: Kickers Emden 1.7 – 2.8 Phönix Lübeck expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck?
On our numbers Kickers Emden have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Phönix Lübeck 62%.
How many goals will there be in Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck?
Our predicted score is Kickers Emden 1–2 Phönix Lübeck, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck?
Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
