VfB Lübeck 47%Draw 21%St. Pauli II 33%Expected goals 1.89 – 1.55
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultVfB Lübeck to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
VfB Lübeck welcome St. Pauli II for a Regionalliga Nord fixture on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, VfB Lübeck are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 16 matches; St. Pauli II are 17th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
VfB Lübeck, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SSV Jeddeloh, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
St. Pauli II, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to HSC Hannover, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours VfB Lübeck, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for St. Pauli II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VfB Lübeck 1.9 xG, St. Pauli II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VfB Lübeck 47%, draw 21%, St. Pauli II 33%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfB Lübeck 1–1 St. Pauli II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VfB Lübeck47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
St. Pauli II33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
3.44Expected goals
1.89VfB Lübeck xG
1.55St. Pauli II xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: VfB Lübeck 1.9 – 1.6 St. Pauli II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Lübeck to win✓
47%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Draw no bet
VfB Lübeck (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
St. Pauli II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
VfB Lübeck to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Lübeck / FT VfB Lübeck✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
VfB Lübeck – last 6
WDWWDD
12 Oct
@ SSV Jeddeloh
2–1
W
2 Oct
vs Eimsbütteler TV
0–0
D
25 Sep
vs Todesfelde
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Bremer SV
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Hannover 96 II
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs HSC Hannover
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Pauli II – last 6
LLLWWL
11 Oct
vs HSC Hannover
3–4
L
26 Sep
vs Kickers Emden
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Hamburger SV II
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Eintracht Norderstedt
5–0
W
4 Sep
@ Hannover 96 II
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfB Lübeck and St. Pauli II.
What is the prediction for VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
On our numbers VfB Lübeck have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Pauli II 33%.
How many goals will there be in VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our predicted score is VfB Lübeck 1–1 St. Pauli II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
