FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt v FSV Zwickau Prediction & Expected Goals (16 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✗66% · @1.57

Double chanceFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓86% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt welcome FSV Zwickau for a Regionalliga Nordost fixture on Friday 16 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; FSV Zwickau are 11th (lower half) with 19. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Chemnitzer FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

FSV Zwickau, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tasmania Berlin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for FSV Zwickau.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended FSV Zwickau 2–1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2.4 xG, FSV Zwickau 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 66%, draw 20%, FSV Zwickau 14%.
Lower-risk option: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–1 FSV Zwickau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt66%fair 1.52 · @1.57

Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.90

FSV Zwickau14%fair 6.99 · @4.60

3.46Expected goals

2.40FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG

1.06FSV Zwickau xG

64%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–09%

1–18%

3–18%

1–08%

3–07%

From our goals model: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2.4 – 1.1 FSV Zwickau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✗	66%	1.52	1.57
Double chance	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓	86%	1.17	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.44
Draw no bet	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (draw no bet)	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
First team to score	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to score first	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ahead at half-time ✗	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt / FT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ✗	44%	2.26	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.42	–

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt – last 6

LWDWWD

11 Oct	@ Chemnitzer FC	1–3	L
26 Sep	@ Lokomotive Leipzig	4–3	W
19 Sep	vs Erzgebirge Aue	2–2	D
15 Sep	@ Hertha BSC II	2–1	W
11 Sep	vs RSV Eintracht	5–0	W
29 Aug	vs BFC Preussen	1–1	D

2.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

FSV Zwickau – last 6

WDLLDW

9 Oct	vs Tasmania Berlin	2–0	W
27 Sep	@ Hertha BSC II	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Hallescher FC	1–3	L
15 Sep	vs Altglienicke	1–2	L
12 Sep	@ BSG Chemie Leipzig	2–2	D
29 Aug	vs SV Babelsberg 03	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

Our pick is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

On our numbers FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FSV Zwickau 14%.

How many goals will there be in FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

Our predicted score is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–1 FSV Zwickau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt v FSV Zwickau: numbers & prediction