Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
Picks by market
ResultSV Babelsberg 03 to win ✗56% · @1.82
Double chanceSV Babelsberg 03 or draw ✗78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Regionalliga Nordost brings Tasmania Berlin against SV Babelsberg 03. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Tasmania Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; SV Babelsberg 03 are 12th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Tasmania Berlin, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FSV Zwickau, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
SV Babelsberg 03, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lokomotive Leipzig, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours SV Babelsberg 03, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Tasmania Berlin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tasmania Berlin 1.2 xG, SV Babelsberg 03 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tasmania Berlin 22%, draw 22%, SV Babelsberg 03 56%.
Lower-risk option: SV Babelsberg 03 or draw (78%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.47.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SV Babelsberg 03 or draw (78%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tasmania Berlin 1–2 SV Babelsberg 03. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tasmania Berlin22%fair 4.63 · @3.31
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.87
SV Babelsberg 0356%fair 1.77 · @1.82
3.30Expected goals
1.22Tasmania Berlin xG
2.07SV Babelsberg 03 xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tasmania Berlin 1.2 – 2.1 SV Babelsberg 03 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SV Babelsberg 03 to win✗
56%
1.77
1.82
Double chance
SV Babelsberg 03 or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.47
Draw no bet
SV Babelsberg 03 (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Tasmania Berlin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
SV Babelsberg 03 to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
SV Babelsberg 03 ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Babelsberg 03 / FT SV Babelsberg 03✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Tasmania Berlin – last 6
LLDLLL
9 Oct
@ FSV Zwickau
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ BFC Preussen
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs BSG Chemie Leipzig
2–5
L
10 Sep
@ BFC Dynamo
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Hallescher FC
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SV Babelsberg 03 – last 6
DWLWDL
11 Oct
vs Lokomotive Leipzig
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Luckenwalde
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Hertha BSC II
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Chemnitzer FC
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Hallescher FC
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ FSV Zwickau
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tasmania Berlin and SV Babelsberg 03.
What is the prediction for Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Our pick is SV Babelsberg 03 or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
On our numbers Tasmania Berlin have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SV Babelsberg 03 56%.
How many goals will there be in Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Our predicted score is Tasmania Berlin 1–2 SV Babelsberg 03, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
