Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
2
Value bet: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win @ 1.92 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓57% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt travel to face Greifswalder FC on Saturday 24 October in the Regionalliga Nordost – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Greifswalder FC are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st (leading the league) with 37.
Current form
Greifswalder FC, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Magdeburg II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FSV Zwickau, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Greifswalder FC 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greifswalder FC 1.4 xG, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greifswalder FC 25%, draw 17%, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 57%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greifswalder FC 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greifswalder FC25%fair 3.99 · @3.00
Draw17%fair 5.71 · @3.92
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt57%fair 1.74 · @1.92
3.59Expected goals
1.38Greifswalder FC xG
2.20FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Greifswalder FC 1.4 – 2.2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
On our numbers Greifswalder FC have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 57%.
How many goals will there be in Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our predicted score is Greifswalder FC 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
